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  7. Is IBM an Undervalued Dividend Stock? | IBM Stock Analysis

Is IBM an Undervalued Dividend Stock? | IBM Stock Analysis

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Video Transcript

0:00
IBM's management team has done an
0:02
excellent job turning the company around
0:05
and given its size and its Legacy it's
0:07
hard to turn around a business of this
0:11
characteristic interestingly the
0:13
analysts on Wall Street are expecting
0:15
solid free cash flow growth from this
0:17
business but what's a fair price to buy
0:20
IBM stock for those of you that are
0:22
interested I'll answer that question in
0:24
this video and I'll give you a breakdown
0:26
of my calculation of how I arrive at
0:29
that fair price using my discounted cash
0:32
flow valuation model let's jump in I
0:35
want to thank the mle fool for
0:37
sponsoring this video visit full.com
0:40
parev for the 10 best stocks to buy now
0:43
so let's start with the section shaded
0:45
in green here with the free cash flow
0:48
expectations from Wall Street the
0:50
analysts that are following IBM's stock
0:52
expect its free cash flow will grow from
0:55
12.75 billion in
0:57
2024 all the way up to 16.78% billion in
1:03
2029 I've forecasted that its growth
1:05
rate will slow down from that point on
1:09
growing from 16.8 billion in 2029 up to
1:21
22.45%
1:23
so between 2024 and 2034 over the next
1:28
decade the forecast is for IBM's free
1:31
cash flow to grow from 12.75 billion all
1:34
the way up to 22.45%
1:48
[Music]
1:53
[Music]
2:00
inter inter technology to the cloud
2:04
technology
2:06
so the present value of all of those
2:09
free cash flows that IBM is expected to
2:12
generate from now into the very long
2:15
term is $415 billion that's the value of
2:20
operations and the reason we need to
2:22
Discount all of those cash flows is
2:24
because money in the future is worth
2:26
less to us today for a number of reasons
2:29
including risk risk and the opportunity
2:32
cost of capital so what's the weighted
2:34
average cost of capital I'm using for
2:37
IBM that number is
2:40
8.45% I give the company a cost of debt
2:43
of
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