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- Analyzing the Impact: Ukraine War and Maritime Battles with Peter Zeihan
Analyzing the Impact: Ukraine War and Maritime Battles with Peter Zeihan
Discover the significance of recent maritime incidents in Ukraine, including the sinking of a patrol vessel by UAVs. Peter Zeihan provides insights on the evolving dynamics of naval warfare and the implications for Ukrainian and Russian naval assets.
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Video Transcript
Everyone, Peter Zine here, come to you from a snowy color out of morning.
There are two recent things that have gone down in the maritime theater in Ukraine that
I think are worth stitching together.
The first is that around midnight of March 4th to 5th, a patrol vessel, the name escapes
me, was sunk by a bunch of UAVs water drones basically.
The reason this matters is that it happened a lot further away from the places where most
to the drones of hit Russian water assets in the past.
The Ukrainians really don't have much of a coastline anymore.
It's really just the far western Ukraine on the west side of the Crimean Peninsula.
And so when vessels are used there, they become in range of these UAV swarms that the Ukrainians
have been launching with greater frequency.
But that's not where the patrol ship was.
It was on the far eastern side of Ukraine near the Kirchstrait bridge.
So that's about 300 miles from any potential launch point and that meant that UAVs had to cruise by pretty much every naval asset
The Russians had in order to get them to where they needed to go
So either they're getting quieter or there's a lot of more holes all along the Russian detection perimeter or both
Also, it's in the vicinity of the bridge
So if you want to say that this is a shaping operation in order to strike the bridge directly, you know, that's a reasonable concern
The other thing that's unique is this is a relatively new vessel.
A patrol ships are pretty small, the design for anti-insurgency, clearly not doing that job very well.
And if there is a type of vessel that's going to be decent at shooting down drones,
it's going to be something like this.
So it's relatively small in the first place so it can shoot down into the water.
And apparently none of that worked and the things sank.
The second vessel to go down went down a couple weeks ago. I believe it was February 14, 15.
And it was a landing ship. Now, landing ships are used to deliver military cargo to areas that
don't necessarily have excellent port facilities. The idea is you just kind of pull up to the shore,
drop off everything you need, and then take off again. The reason that these are really important in
any sort of operation is because it means you're not beholden to civilian or military infrastructure.
you don't have to wait for a port slot to be available.
